Frontline Plc · FRO · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026
Frontline posts a record quarter as tanker rates remain elevated
Frontline's record results and strong tanker rates support the near-term earnings case, but the longer-term outlook depends on rate durability, geopolitical conditions and whether fleet growth creates supply pressure.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The quarter set a new profit record, while management highlighted reduced financing costs, continued newbuilding deliveries and a VLCC order-book-to-fleet ratio approaching 40%. The discussion also placed greater emphasis on geopolitical disruption, sanctioned vessels and future fleet supply.
Guidance delta
No formal guidance was provided; management discussed fleet delivery, financing, routing and shareholder returns instead.
Key takeaways
- Record quarterly profit and adjusted earnings were supported by strong TCE rates across VLCC, Suezmax and LR2 vessels.
- Management described robust liquidity and lower financing costs despite a high debt-maturity profile.
- Geopolitical tensions in the Gulf of Oman, Red Sea and Black Sea remain operational risks.
- The VLCC order-book-to-fleet ratio is approaching 40%, raising future supply concerns.
- The company plans to continue newbuilding deliveries while maintaining shareholder returns.
Management priorities
- Deliver the remaining VLCC newbuildings and sell two VLCCs.
- Continue reducing financing margins and refinancing existing facilities.
- Maintain the dividend policy and consider special dividends opportunistically.
- Focus on a VLCC-heavy, eco-vessel fleet model.
- Monitor geopolitical developments and adjust routing strategies.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTIG | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 21, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 1, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Jan 9, 2024 |
| HC Wainwright & Co. | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | May 25, 2022 |
| Danske Bank | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 24, 2020 |
| DNB Markets | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 28, 2020 |
| Wells Fargo | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jan 10, 2019 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Nov 19, 2018 |
| BTIG Research | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 27, 2018 |
| Clarksons Platou | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 16, 2016 |
| Nordea | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Jan 14, 2016 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 17, 2015 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Nov 25, 2015 |
| Imperial Capital | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Sep 24, 2013 |
| RS Platou Markets | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Sep 3, 2013 |
| Global Hunter Securities | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Apr 17, 2013 |
| Dahlman Rose | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 29, 2012 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Aug 24, 2012 |
| Clarkson Capital Markets | Perform | Market Perform | Maintain | May 25, 2012 |
| Fondsfinans | Sell | Sell | Maintain | May 24, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $51.42. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $70 | $54.03 | +36.1% | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Jonathan Chappell | $42 | $37.95 | -18.3% | Feb 27, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $35 | $28.84 | -31.9% | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $26 | $24.06 | -49.4% | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Kepler Capital | Analyst unavailable | $12.49 | $14.91 | -75.7% | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Evercore ISI | Jonathan Chappell | $25 | $16.98 | -51.4% | Nov 27, 2024 |
| BTIG | Gregory Lewis | $30 | $25.68 | -41.7% | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Omar Nokta | $30 | $23.44 | -41.7% | Mar 21, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Amit Mehrotra | $26 | $21.68 | -49.4% | Jan 9, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Amit Mehrotra | $17 | $13.92 | -66.9% | Jun 29, 2023 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationFrontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates oil and product tankers, such as very large crude carriers (VLCCs), Suezmax tankers, and LR2/Aframax tankers. As of December 31, 2025, it operated a fleet of 80 vessels, including 41 VLCCs, 21 Suezmax tankers, and 18 LR2/Aframax tankers. The company is also involved in the charter, purchase, and sale of vessels. Frontline plc was founded in 1985 and is based in Limassol, Cyprus.
Industrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FPS Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +4.3% | +9.5% | Forgent Power Solutions pairs record results with an aggressive FY27 buildout |
| CPRT Copart, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | -8.7% | -2.6% | Copart pairs international growth with ACV investment amid higher costs |
| SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +19.2% | +5.9% | Sunbelt raises FY27 outlook as specialty rental demand accelerates |
| DCI Donaldson Company, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +1.8% | +2.1% | Donaldson posts record FY26 and targets further growth |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FPSFY2026 Q4 · September 15, 2026+4.3% EPS+9.5% move
- TCOMFY2026 Q2 · September 15, 2026+22.3% EPS+3.0% move
- KRFY2026 Q2 · September 11, 2026+2.8% EPS+2.7% move
- ADBEFY2026 Q3 · September 10, 2026+0.8% EPS+1.4% move
- ORCLFY2027 Q1 · September 10, 2026+10.3% EPS-1.7% move
- CASYFY2027 Q1 · September 8, 2026+8.7% EPS-14.2% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-28T15:20:45.152484+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T02:30:50.035210+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T02:30:50.032985+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.