Frontline Plc · FRO · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Frontline posts a record quarter as tanker rates remain elevated

Frontline's record results and strong tanker rates support the near-term earnings case, but the longer-term outlook depends on rate durability, geopolitical conditions and whether fleet growth creates supply pressure.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $11.45B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.96 Consensus $2.74
EPS surprise +8.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $753.3M Consensus $758.9M
Revenue surprise -0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.0% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +16.4% Up to 20 sessions
FROSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter set a new profit record, while management highlighted reduced financing costs, continued newbuilding deliveries and a VLCC order-book-to-fleet ratio approaching 40%. The discussion also placed greater emphasis on geopolitical disruption, sanctioned vessels and future fleet supply.

Guidance delta

No formal guidance was provided; management discussed fleet delivery, financing, routing and shareholder returns instead.

Key takeaways

  • Record quarterly profit and adjusted earnings were supported by strong TCE rates across VLCC, Suezmax and LR2 vessels.
  • Management described robust liquidity and lower financing costs despite a high debt-maturity profile.
  • Geopolitical tensions in the Gulf of Oman, Red Sea and Black Sea remain operational risks.
  • The VLCC order-book-to-fleet ratio is approaching 40%, raising future supply concerns.
  • The company plans to continue newbuilding deliveries while maintaining shareholder returns.

Management priorities

  • Deliver the remaining VLCC newbuildings and sell two VLCCs.
  • Continue reducing financing margins and refinancing existing facilities.
  • Maintain the dividend policy and consider special dividends opportunistically.
  • Focus on a VLCC-heavy, eco-vessel fleet model.
  • Monitor geopolitical developments and adjust routing strategies.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
FRO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '23 estimate $0.45 Q3 '23 actual $0.36, miss Q4 '23 estimate $0.46 Q4 '23 actual $0.46, match Q1 '24 estimate $0.73 Q1 '24 actual $0.62, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.67 Q2 '24 actual $0.62, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.42 Q2 '25 actual $0.36, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.27 Q3 '25 actual $0.19, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1.15 Q4 '25 actual $1.03, miss Q1 '26 estimate $2.44 Q1 '26 actual $2.51, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.74 Q2 '26 actual $2.96, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.56 Q4 '26 estimate $2.12 Q1 '27 estimate $1.80 Q2 '27 estimate $1.36
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold22 ratings
Bullish836.4%
Neutral1045.4%
Bearish418.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$51.42Previous close
$12.49Low
$33.78Average
$70High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainAug 31, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainNov 21, 2025
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 1, 2024
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeJan 9, 2024
Show 17 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $51.42. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$70$54.03 +36.1%Sep 18, 2026
Evercore ISIJonathan Chappell$42$37.95 -18.3%Feb 27, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$35$28.84 -31.9%Feb 4, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$26$24.06 -49.4%Oct 28, 2025
Kepler CapitalAnalyst unavailable$12.49$14.91 -75.7%Mar 27, 2025
See 5 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Frontline plc, a shipping company, engages in the ownership and operation of oil and product tankers worldwide. The company owns and operates oil and product tankers, such as very large crude carriers (VLCCs), Suezmax tankers, and LR2/Aframax tankers. As of December 31, 2025, it operated a fleet of 80 vessels, including 41 VLCCs, 21 Suezmax tankers, and 18 LR2/Aframax tankers. The company is also involved in the charter, purchase, and sale of vessels. Frontline plc was founded in 1985 and is based in Limassol, Cyprus.

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-28T15:20:45.152484+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T02:30:50.035210+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T02:30:50.032985+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.