NextEra Energy, Inc. · NEE · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

NextEra Energy Beats EPS, Misses Revenue, Reaffirms Guidance as Backlog Grows to 35 GW

NextEra Energy delivered a solid Q2 2026 with adjusted EPS of $1.15, up 9.8% year-over-year. Reported EPS of $1.09 beat the consensus estimate of $1.03 by 5.8%, though revenue of $6.7B fell short of the $7.3B estimate by 7.8%. Management reaffirmed full-year EPS guidance of $3.92-$4.02 and maintained a confident tone. The growth thesis centers on continued Florida customer growth, a renewables and storage backlog that expanded to ~35 GW after a 3.6 GW addition this quarter, and a large-load data-center hub strategy broadened to 30-40 hubs with large-load tariff expectations raised from 6 GW to 8 GW by 2032. The pending Dominion Energy merger is advancing through regulatory filings with a target close in H2 2027. Risks include merger approval uncertainty, execution risk on transmission and hub projects, and interest-rate sensitivity. The stock's reaction was muted on report day…

Reported Before market openNYSEUtilities $185.26B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

NextEra Energy, Inc., operating through its diverse subsidiaries, is a prominent electric power provider in North America. The company's operations encompass the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity to both individual consumers and large-scale wholesale clients. Its energy portfolio is broad, featuring power generation from wind, solar, nuclear, coal, and natural gas facilities. Beyond direct power supply, NextEra Energy is actively involved in developing, constructing, and managing long-term contracted clean energy infrastructure, including renewable energy generation sites, battery storage solutions, and electric transmission networks.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.09 Consensus $1
EPS surprise +5.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $6.70B Consensus $7.27B
Revenue surprise -7.8% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
NEE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.49 Q4 '23 actual $0.52, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.78 Q1 '24 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.98 Q2 '24 actual $0.96, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.98 Q3 '24 actual $1.03, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.01 Q2 '25 actual $1.05, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.97 Q3 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.53, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.11 Q2 '26 actual $1.15, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.21 Q4 '26 estimate $0.61 Q1 '27 estimate $1.08 Q2 '27 estimate $1.19

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy34 ratings
Bullish2470.6%
Neutral926.5%
Bearish12.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$86.92Previous close
$66Low
$92.37Average
$117High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Aug 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 27, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 13, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 7, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 19, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 13, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 4, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainApr 24, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainMar 5, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $86.92. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BernsteinSunaina Ocalan$108$89.36 +24.3%Jul 27, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$96$89.78 +10.4%Jul 27, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesPaul Fremont$95$89.78 +9.3%Jul 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyDavid Arcaro$116$88.97 +33.5%Jul 22, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$94$89.07 +8.1%Jul 22, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$94$88.38 +8.1%Jul 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$91$87.44 +4.7%Jul 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$117$87.12 +34.6%Jun 24, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$107$86.23 +23.1%Jun 16, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$90$88.55 +3.5%May 26, 2026
See 64 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.0% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.8% Up to 20 sessions
NEESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior quarter, the renewables and storage backlog grew from ~33 GW to ~35 GW (3.6 GW added this quarter vs. 4 GW in Q1). Large-load tariff expectations were raised from 6 GW to 8 GW by 2032. NextEra acquired the remaining 30% minority interest in the Duane Arnold nuclear plant, targeting a Q1 2029 restart. A new 137-mile, 345 kV transmission line in New Mexico was placed in service 31 months after award, ahead of schedule. The Symmetry acquisition has now made NextEra the third-largest gas marketer in the U.S. The Dominion Energy merger is progressing with regulatory filings submitted in Virginia, North Carolina, and South Carolina.

Guidance delta

Full-year 2026 EPS guidance of $3.92-$4.02 was reaffirmed. Guidance sentiment is maintained, management tone is confident, and the capex outlook is increasing. The large-load tariff expectation was raised from 6 GW to 8 GW by 2032. Renewables and storage backlog targets are 15 GW (base case) to 30 GW (upside) by 2035.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EPS of $1.15 grew 9.8% YoY; reported EPS of $1.09 beat the $1.03 consensus estimate by 5.8%.
  • Revenue of $6.7B missed the $7.3B estimate by 7.8%.
  • Full-year 2026 EPS guidance of $3.92-$4.02 was reaffirmed.
  • Energy Resources added 3.6 GW of renewables and storage to the backlog, now totaling ~35 GW.
  • FPL added over 90,000 customers; on track to install ~900 MW of solar and 1.4 GW of battery storage in 2026.
  • Dominion Energy merger is progressing with regulatory filings submitted; expected close in H2 2027.

Management priorities

  • Execute on 2026 solar and storage deployment targets (~900 MW solar, 1.4 GW battery storage).
  • Advance Dominion Energy merger through regulatory approvals toward H2 2027 close.
  • Scale large-load data-center hub strategy (30-40 hubs, 15-30 GW new generation by 2035).
  • Bring Duane Arnold nuclear plant back online by Q1 2029.
  • Expand gas-pipeline development to support Southeast large-load demand.
  • Grow renewables and storage backlog toward 15 GW (base) to 30 GW (upside) by 2035.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-24T18:08:54.561818+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-28T01:23:15.070317+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-28T14:20:30.686279+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-28T14:20:30.684582+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.