Hormel Foods Corporation · HRL · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

Hormel raises EPS outlook as foodservice offsets retail pressure

The quarter supports a mixed but constructive picture: foodservice momentum and expected lower commodity costs support earnings, while retail pressure and slower organic sales growth temper the outlook.

Reported Before market openNYSEConsumer Defensive $11.45B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.37 Consensus $0.35
EPS surprise +4.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.96B Consensus $3.03B
Revenue surprise -2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -10.2% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move -10.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.1% Up to 20 sessions
HRLSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Adjusted EPS guidance was raised and narrowed, while the organic sales growth outlook was narrowed to 1%-2%. Foodservice extended its growth streak, retail remained mixed, and management highlighted the Brazil divestiture and incoming CFO.

Guidance delta

FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance was raised to $1.45-$1.51, while organic net sales growth was narrowed to 1%-2%.

Key takeaways

  • Adjusted EPS guidance was raised and narrowed, indicating confidence in earnings momentum.
  • Organic net sales growth was narrowed to 1%-2% amid consumer pressure and portfolio actions.
  • Foodservice delivered its 12th straight quarter of organic sales growth.
  • Retail performance was mixed, with volume pressure offset by growth in priority brands.
  • International operations are being reshaped through the Brazil divestiture and an Asia Pacific focus.

Management priorities

  • Expand foodservice sales and improve mix profitability.
  • Accelerate priority retail brands including Jennie-O, Applegate and Planters.
  • Invest in data, technology and production-system upgrades.
  • Shift more marketing toward retailer media and e-commerce channels.
  • Pursue aligned acquisitions or partnerships within the protein-focused portfolio.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
HRL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.33 Q1 '24 actual $0.41, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.36 Q2 '24 actual $0.38, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.36 Q3 '24 actual $0.37, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.40 Q3 '25 actual $0.35, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.30 Q4 '25 actual $0.32, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.32 Q1 '26 actual $0.34, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.35 Q2 '26 actual $0.40, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.35 Q3 '26 actual $0.37, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.38 Q1 '27 estimate $0.37 Q2 '27 estimate $0.40 Q3 '27 estimate $0.38
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish517.3%
Neutral1758.6%
Bearish724.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$20.83Previous close
$23Low
$32.3Average
$54High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BNP Paribas Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 28, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 14, 2026
Stephens & Co. Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 9, 2026
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainJun 30, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainDec 9, 2025
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $20.83. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
StephensAnalyst unavailable$23$21.28 +10.4%Aug 28, 2026
Coker PalmerThomas Palmer$26$24.44 +24.8%Aug 14, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$25$20.76 +20.0%May 21, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$22$20.76 +5.6%May 21, 2026
StephensAnalyst unavailable$25$24.3 +20.0%Feb 11, 2026
See 17 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Hormel Foods Corporation is a prominent global food company that specializes in the creation, preparation, and supply of a diverse array of meat, nut, and other culinary items. Its extensive clientele spans retail outlets, institutional food providers (foodservice), specialty delis, and various commercial enterprises across the United States and internationally. The company's operations are strategically structured into four main divisions: Grocery Products, Refrigerated Foods, Jennie-O Turkey Store, and International & Other. Hormel's product portfolio is broad, encompassing numerous perishable goods such as fresh meats, frozen food selections, convenient refrigerated meal options, a variety of sausages, hams, guacamole, and bacon. Additionally, it offers a wide range of non-perishable items, including canned luncheon meats, various nut butters, snack nuts, chili, microwave-ready meals, hashes, stews, tortillas, salsas, and tortilla chips.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-27T19:20:42.321145+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T04:10:50.579203+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T04:10:50.576200+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.