The Toronto-Dominion Bank · TD · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026

TD emphasizes growth investments alongside disciplined capital management

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: TD's growth initiatives and resilient credit performance are positive, while execution on U.S. expansion, cost reduction, AML remediation, and margin management remains important.

Reported Before market openNYSEFinancial Services $206.68B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.98 Consensus $1.74
EPS surprise +13.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $12.07B Consensus $10.70B
Revenue surprise +12.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.4% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +0.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.0% Up to 20 sessions
TDSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior quarter, the supplied analysis highlights a larger U.S. expansion plan, broader AI deployment, a bigger structural cost-reduction target, and a substantial planned capital return. The emphasis remains on growth across retail, wealth, and wholesale banking while regulatory remediation continues.

Guidance delta

Maintained; the supplied analysis identifies no explicit change to guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record earnings supported by revenue growth, margin expansion, and loan and deposit activity across Canada and the U.S.
  • Credit quality was described as solid, with impaired provisions for credit losses at the lower end of the guidance range.
  • The next phase centers on U.S. branch expansion, broader AI deployment, wealth management, wholesale banking, and structural cost reduction.
  • Capital strength is intended to support shareholder returns while funding organic growth.

Management priorities

  • Expand the U.S. branch network and deepen the retail footprint
  • Scale generative and agentic AI across credit, software development, and contact centers
  • Continue structural cost reduction
  • Expand wealth management and wholesale banking fee businesses
  • Manage U.S. AML remediation while pursuing growth

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
TD REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $9B Q4 '23 actual $11B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $9B Q1 '24 actual $22B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $9B Q2 '24 actual $21B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $7B Q3 '24 actual $22B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $10B Q3 '25 actual $15B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $10B Q4 '25 actual $16B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $11B Q1 '26 actual $11B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $11B Q2 '26 actual $12B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $11B Q3 '26 actual $12B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $15B Q1 '27 estimate $16B Q2 '27 estimate $15B Q3 '27 estimate $16B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy17 ratings
Bullish952.9%
Neutral847.1%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$122.33Previous close
$87.53Low
$89.52Average
$91.51High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 1, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector PerformUpgradeMay 4, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform Market PerformUpgradeDec 18, 2024
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 18, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 25, 2023
Show 12 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $122.33. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
CIBCPaul Holden$91.51$83.14 -25.2%Feb 17, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesEbrahim Poonawala$87.53$71.92 -28.4%Nov 22, 2021

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

The Toronto-Dominion Bank, along with its affiliated entities, delivers a comprehensive array of financial solutions and services across Canada, the United States, and various international markets. Its operations are structured into three primary divisions: Canadian Retail, U.S. Retail, and Wholesale Banking. For individual customers, the bank provides fundamental deposit products like checking, savings, and investment accounts. Businesses can access a suite of offerings including funding, investment management, cash flow solutions, international trade facilities, and everyday banking. Furthermore, TD offers point-of-sale financing options for major purchases such as automobiles and recreational vehicles. The institution also issues credit cards and facilitates payment processing. Its lending portfolio extends to real estate-backed loans, vehicle financing, and general consumer credit. Businesses, both large and small, benefit from its point-of-sale payment systems.…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-27T19:20:10.673167+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-21T01:23:13.071796+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-21T04:20:50.712510+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-21T04:20:50.709363+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.