Samsara Inc. · IOT · FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

The current quarter supports the view that resilient demand and expanding AI adoption can sustain growth: ARR increased 30% year over year, large-customer additions were record-setting, and emerging products remained above 20% of net new ACV. The evidence is supportive but not conclusive because management maintained guidance and flagged supply-chain, free-cash-flow and public-sector timing risks.

Reported After market closeNYSETechnology $22.82B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.20 Consensus $0.16
EPS surprise +25.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $508.4M Consensus $483.3M
Revenue surprise +5.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.7% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +4.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -1.6% Up to 20 sessions
IOTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, management continued to emphasize large-customer momentum, multi-product adoption and emerging products, while reporting AI feature usage up more than 4x in two months. Guidance was maintained rather than raised, and the company highlighted temporary free-cash-flow pressure from higher inventory purchases and supply-chain costs.

Guidance delta

Management maintained FY27 guidance, with revenue growth expected at approximately 26% year over year and continued GAAP profitability.

Key takeaways

  • ARR crossed $2.1 billion, up 30% year over year, supported by record large-customer additions.
  • AI feature adoption grew more than 4x in two months, while emerging products contributed over 20% of net new ACV for a third consecutive quarter.
  • Non-GAAP margin improved to 21%, and Samsara reported a fourth consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability.
  • Higher inventory purchases and supply-chain costs are temporarily weighing on free cash flow, according to management.

Management priorities

  • Launch additional AI agents for safety, maintenance and dispatch.
  • Scale Tracking Label and asset-tag solutions and densify the Samsara network.
  • Expand the global community and partner ecosystem.
  • Continue R&D investment in AI capabilities and the emerging product portfolio.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
IOT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '25 estimate $0.01 Q1 '25 actual $0.03, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.01 Q2 '25 actual $0.05, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.06 Q1 '26 actual $0.11, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.07 Q2 '26 actual $0.12, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.12 Q3 '26 actual $0.15, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.13 Q4 '26 actual $0.18, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.13 Q1 '27 actual $0.17, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.16 Q2 '27 actual $0.20, beat Q3 '27 estimate $0.19 Q4 '27 estimate $0.21 Q1 '28 estimate $0.21 Q2 '28 estimate $0.23
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy20 ratings
Bullish1575.0%
Neutral525.0%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$39.55Previous close
$27Low
$48.82Average
$63High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 21, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 4, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 4, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 4, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 4, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 4, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 4, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 4, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 4, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 4, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 4, 2026
Craig-Hallum Buy HoldUpgradeSep 5, 2025
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainDec 5, 2024
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 6, 2024
Wolfe Research Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 28, 2024
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainMar 11, 2024
MoffettNathanson Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 23, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 10, 2022
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $39.55. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$45$42.91 +13.8%Sep 14, 2026
Craig-HallumAnthony Stoss$54$41.48 +36.5%Sep 4, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$55$40.48 +39.1%Sep 4, 2026
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$54$38.75 +36.5%Sep 4, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$54$38.75 +36.5%Sep 4, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$46$38.75 +16.3%Sep 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$49$38.75 +23.9%Sep 4, 2026
GuggenheimTamjid Chowdhury$51$38.75 +29.0%Sep 4, 2026
Evercore ISIKirk Materne$55$38.75 +39.1%Sep 4, 2026
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$58$38.75 +46.6%Sep 4, 2026
Truist FinancialJunaid Siddiqui$48$38.75 +21.4%Sep 4, 2026
KeyBancJason Celino$46$39.94 +16.3%Aug 24, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$38$39.58 -3.9%Aug 19, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$50$41.14 +26.4%Aug 14, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$45$33.33 +13.8%Jul 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$43$37.72 +8.7%Jul 21, 2026
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$42$35.21 +6.2%Jun 5, 2026
UBSAnthony Stoss$48$34.54 +21.4%Mar 6, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$45$28.95 +13.8%Mar 2, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$30$25.85 -24.1%Feb 17, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$35$27.9 -11.5%Feb 11, 2026
Goldman SachsMatthew Martino$36$27.9 -9.0%Feb 11, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$37$24.25 -6.4%Feb 6, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$40$33.85 +1.1%Jan 15, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$46$33.92 +16.3%Jan 5, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$55$38.98 +39.1%Dec 16, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$57$44.22 +44.1%Dec 10, 2025
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$55$43.76 +39.1%Dec 9, 2025
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$50$40.71 +26.4%Dec 5, 2025
Piper SandlerJames Fish$49$40.71 +23.9%Dec 5, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$52$40.71 +31.5%Dec 5, 2025
Piper SandlerJames Fish$48$38.05 +21.4%Nov 14, 2025
Evercore ISIKirk Materne$50$37.25 +26.4%Oct 1, 2025
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$47$42.09 +18.8%Sep 5, 2025
Craig-HallumAnalyst unavailable$48$42.09 +21.4%Sep 5, 2025
Evercore ISIKirk Materne$45$38.65 +13.8%Jun 25, 2025
Piper SandlerJames Fish$53$38.65 +34.0%Jun 25, 2025
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$50$38.85 +26.4%Apr 16, 2025
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$48$35.36 +21.4%Mar 10, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$50$35.36 +26.4%Mar 9, 2025
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$42$35.36 +6.2%Mar 7, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$54$35.36 +36.5%Mar 7, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$51$35.36 +29.0%Mar 7, 2025
Berenberg BankNay Soe Naing$57$51.41 +44.1%Feb 3, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsMark Schappel$63$55.44 +59.3%Dec 5, 2024
Truist FinancialJunaid Siddiqui$50$49.61 +26.4%Nov 18, 2024
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$49$44.34 +23.9%Sep 6, 2024
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$44$38.75 +11.3%Sep 6, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$40$38.75 +1.1%Sep 6, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$36$33.7 -9.0%Jun 28, 2024
BMO CapitalDaniel Jester$40$34.86 +1.1%Jun 7, 2024
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$47$34.86 +18.8%Jun 7, 2024
Truist FinancialJunaid Siddiqui$35$34.86 -11.5%Jun 7, 2024
Evercore ISIKirk Materne$40$34.86 +1.1%Jun 7, 2024
Piper SandlerJames Fish$41$40.15 +3.7%May 23, 2024
Loop Capital MarketsMark Schappel$42$30.97 +6.2%Apr 17, 2024
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$15$12.3 -62.1%Dec 2, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$14$9.95 -64.6%Nov 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$17$9.38 -57.0%Nov 22, 2022
Goldman SachsKash Rangan$27$9.98 -31.7%Jun 16, 2022
RBC CapitalMatthew Hedberg$18$11.55 -54.5%Jun 6, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Samsara Inc. specializes in providing solutions that digitize and connect physical operations data to its centralized Connected Operations Cloud, accessible to clients across the United States and internationally. At the core of this cloud-based platform is a robust Data Platform. This platform systematically collects, aggregates, and enriches information streamed from Samsara's proprietary IoT devices, featuring integrated capabilities including artificial intelligence, workflow automation, advanced analytics, instant alerts, API connectivity, and comprehensive data security and privacy…

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-09-04T13:21:38.515625+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-20T01:23:12.707946+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-20T23:50:47.250989+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-20T23:50:47.248179+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.